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Bob Brinker
Bob
Brinker, the very successful stock market expert that used to be on the
radio, was a triumphant bull for at least 9 years. He would ask
listeners who called in with hare-brained schemes about retiring at age
35 if they are prepared
to ride out a bear market for a long period of time.
Brinker,
who always shies away from directing people (do this, do that kinda
stuff) was well known for the time he suggested to his millions of
listeners that the
"correction" coming in the market could be as much as 40%. But it
wasn't so much that he made bold predictions, but more that he also
suggested
that the market could stay down for an indefinite period.
He had some
rather unique and thoughtful methods of making his predictions. For
example during the nineties, he warned that the real sign that a crash
was coming for him was the push from the exchanges for
extended hours, with both NASDAQ and NYSE announcing plans for adding
hours to
the trading day.
At that
time, Brinker pointed out that the last time the NYSE expanded its
coverage (this time
additional floor space at the exchange so they could add more brokers)
was....you guessed it....1929. So he based his wild predictions on some
pretty scientific data.
Bob also
questioned why the exchanges were doing this prior to the Y2K
roll-over,
implying that there may be more difficulties in the markets than has
been
disclosed.
He didn't
made an absolute sell call, but Brinker was definitely urging caution
in
the teeth of this market. From the tone of his conversations it
sounded very much like he expected to see the drop to continue for
several months into the future.
At that
time Bob was telling listeners to use "dollar cost averaging" to buy
into a
high-priced market such as that one (after all, he felt certain there
was a bubble going on that could burst at any moment.) To one caller,
he explained that
if he should buy in to the market using dollar cost averaging, and the
market should turn upside down during that same month, that the caller
should "reverse this order"--in other words, pull his most recent
purchase out.
Brinker
sounds like he was a wise man and I wish I could have heard more of him
myself. At this time, I believe Bob Brinker is retired.

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